Real Time Forecast

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Verification

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Latest Verification

File NameDate & Time
Verification_MISO.ppt September 29 2014 14:57:23. hrs
Verification_spatial.ppt September 29 2014 14:49:49. hrs
Verification_anim_Aug.ppt September 29 2014 14:41:39. hrs
Verification_anim_Jul.ppt September 09 2014 16:10:58. hrs
Verification_anim_May.ppt August 13 2014 14:56:08. hrs
Verification_anim_Jun.ppt August 13 2014 14:56:05. hrs

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Archieval of Real Time Forecast

File NameDate & Time

Archieval of Forecast Verification

File NameDate & Time
Verification_20140725.ppt July 26 2014 12:24:09. hrs
Verification_20140720.ppt July 21 2014 13:07:17. hrs
Verification_20140715.ppt July 16 2014 16:28:52. hrs
Verification_20140710.ppt July 11 2014 16:58:24. hrs
Verification_20140705.ppt July 06 2014 14:07:28. hrs
Verification_20140630.ppt July 01 2014 16:52:20. hrs
Verification_20140625.ppt June 26 2014 15:57:58. hrs
Verification_20140620.ppt June 21 2014 13:42:02. hrs
Verification_20140615.ppt June 16 2014 20:07:46. hrs
FV_2013_Spatial_June_July.ppt September 10 2013 16:30:28. hrs
FV_2013_Spatial_August_September.ppt September 10 2013 16:30:28. hrs

 

Miso Simulation

Representation of MISOs in CGCM is more reasonable compared to AGCM. The realistic SST–rainfall relationship on sub-seasonal range is considered as an important indicator of the model's fidelity in simulating as well as predicting the MISOs during the summer monsoon season. Experiment has been performed with CFST126 and the atmospheric component of the same i.e. GFSv2 forced with bias-corrected daily SST (hereafter GFSbc). It is clear that the more realistic local SST–rainfall lag–lead relationship in the CFST126 model compared to GFSbc is leading to the more realistic rainfall amplitude in CFST126 associated with MISO which may impart less error on the circulation [Figure a, b] .
Since the SST–rainfall relationship is important in capturing the phase propagation of MISOs, CFST126 is able to capture the northward phase propagation more efficiently [Figure a, b, c] .
However, CFST126 shows dry bias in rainfall over the Indian land mass and although reduced to some extent, it is present in the GFSbc also [Figure a, b, c, d, e] .