Real Time Forecast

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Latest Verification

File NameDate & Time
Verification_MISO.ppt September 29 2014 09:27:23. hrs
Verification_spatial.ppt September 29 2014 09:19:49. hrs
Verification_anim_Aug.ppt September 29 2014 09:11:39. hrs
Verification_anim_Jul.ppt September 09 2014 10:40:58. hrs
Verification_anim_May.ppt August 13 2014 09:26:08. hrs
Verification_anim_Jun.ppt August 13 2014 09:26:05. hrs


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Archieval of Real Time Forecast

File NameDate & Time

Archieval of Forecast Verification

File NameDate & Time
Verification_20140725.ppt July 26 2014 06:54:09. hrs
Verification_20140720.ppt July 21 2014 07:37:17. hrs
Verification_20140715.ppt July 16 2014 10:58:52. hrs
Verification_20140710.ppt July 11 2014 11:28:24. hrs
Verification_20140705.ppt July 06 2014 08:37:28. hrs
Verification_20140630.ppt July 01 2014 11:22:20. hrs
Verification_20140625.ppt June 26 2014 10:27:58. hrs
Verification_20140620.ppt June 21 2014 08:12:02. hrs
Verification_20140615.ppt June 16 2014 14:37:46. hrs
FV_2013_Spatial_June_July.ppt September 10 2013 11:00:28. hrs
FV_2013_Spatial_August_September.ppt September 10 2013 11:00:28. hrs


Paper in reviewed Journal

  • Abhilash, S., Sahai A. K. , Pattnaik S., Goswami B. N., Kumar A., 2013a, Extended Range Prediction of Active-Break Spells of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall using an Ensemble Prediction System in NCEP Climate Forecast System. Int. J. Climatol., DOI: 511 10.1002/joc.3668.

  • Abhilash, S., Sahai A. K., Pattnaik S., De S., Predictability during active break phases of Indian summer monsoon in an ensemble prediction system using climate forecast system, 2013, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 100–101, 13–23,DOI:10.1016/j.jastp.2013.03.017.

  • Abhilash, S., Sahai A. K., Borah N., Chattopadhyay R., Joseph S., Sharmila S., De S. and Goswami B. N., 2013b, Prediction and Monitoring of Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations over Indian Monsoon Region in an Ensemble Prediction System using CFSv2, 2013, Published online in 21 January, 2014, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-2045-9.

  • Abhilash, S., Sahai A. K., Borah N., Chattopadhyay R., Joseph S., Sharmila S., De S. and Goswami B. N., 2013c, Does bias correction in the forecasted SST improves the extended range prediction skill of active-break spells of Indian summer monsoon rainfall?,Atmos. Sci. Let., Published online in Wiley Online Library, DOI: 10.1002/asl2.477.

  • Annamalai H., Hafner J., Sooraj K.P., Pillai P., (2013): Global warming shifts the monsoon circulation, drying South Asia. Journal of Climate, 26, May 2013, DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00208.1, 2701-2718

  • Borah N., A. K. Sahai, R. Chattopadhyay, S. Joseph, S. Abhilash and B. N. Goswami, 2013, A Self-Organizing Map Based Ensemble Forecast System for Extended Range Prediction of Active/Break Cycles of Indian Summer Monsoon, Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres, 118, 1–13, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50688.

  • Chattopadhyay R., Sur S., Joseph S., Sahai A.K., 2013, Diabatic heating profiles over the continental convergence zone during the monsoon active spells, Climate Dynamics, 41,DOI:10.1007/s00382-013-1739-3, 205-226.

  • De S., Sahai A.K., Predictability of Indian monsoon circulation with high resolution ECMWF model in the perspective of tropical forecast during the tropical convection year 2008, Pure and Applied Geophysics, 170, DOI:10.1007/s00024-013-0642-5, 2351–2368.

  • Pattnaik, S., Abhilash S., De S., Sahai A. K., Phani R. P. M., Goswami B. N., 2013, Influence of convective parameterization on the systematic errors of Climate Forecast System (CFS) model over the Indian monsoon region from an extended range forecast perspective, Clim Dyn, DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1662-7.

  • Pillai P.A., Sahai A.K., 2013, Moist dynamics of active/break cycle of Indian summer monsoon rainfall from NCEPR2 and MERRA reanalysis, International Journal of Climatology, online, DOI:10.1002/joc.3774, 1-16

  • Sahai, A. K., S. Sharmila, S. Abhilash, R. Chattopadhyay, N. Borah, R. P. M. Krishna, S. Joseph, M. Roxy, S. De, S. Pattnaik and P. A. Pillai, 2013, Simulation and extended range prediction of monsoon intraseasonal oscillations in NCEP CFS/GFS version 2 framework, Current Science (Special Section: Atmosphere and Ocean Science), 104, 10.

  • A. K. Sahai, R. Chattopadhyay, Susmitha Joseph, S. Abhilash, Nabanita Borah and B.N. Goswami (2013): A new method to compute the Principal Component Time Series of Self Organizing Maps: An application to Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations. International Journal of Climatology (accepted on 1 Nov, 2013).

  • Sahai, A. K., Abhilash S., Chattopadhyay R., Joseph S., Borah N., Goswami B. N., 2013b, How Important is the Model Resolution in the Operational Extended Range Forecast of Monsoon Precipitation over Indian Region in the NCEP CFSv2 model, to be submitted.

  • Sharmila, S., Pillai P. A., Joseph S., Roxy M., Krishna R. P. M., Chattopadhyay R., Abhilash S., Sahai A. K., Goswami B. N., 2013, Role of Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction on Northward Propagation of Indian Summer Monsoon Intra-Seasonal Oscillations (MISO), Clim Dyn (2013) 41:1651–1669, DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1854-1.

  • Sharmila, S., S. Joseph, R. Chattopadhyay, A. K. Sahai, B. N. Goswami, 2013b, Asymmetry in Space-time Characteristics of Indian Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations (MISO) During Extreme Years - Role of Seasonal Mean State, Under Revision.

  • Susmitha Joseph, A.K. Sahai, S. Sharmila, S. Abhilash, N. Borah, P. A. Pillai, R. Chattopadhyay, M. Rajeevan, Arun Kumar, (2013) Prediction of June 2013 North Indian heavy rainfall event on extended range by an Ensemble Prediction System, to be submitted

  • Valsala V., Tiwari Y.K., Pillai P., Roxy M., Maksyutov M., Murtugudde R., (2013): Intraseasonal variability of terrestrial biospheric CO2 fluxes over India during summer monsoons Journal of Geophysical Research online, May 2013, DOI:10.1002/jgrg.20037, 1-18