Earth System Science Organization

Ministry of Earth Sciences

Monsoon Mission Review Meeting

Venue: Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune

18 - 20 February 2015  Download Agenda

Wednesday, 18th February, 2015



09.30 - 10.00

Inauguration Ceremony

Dr Shailesh Nayak, Chairman, ESSO and the Secretary, MoES

Dr Vinod Gaur, Chairman, Governing Council, ESSO-IITM

Monsoon Mission Director

Associate Monsoon Mission Director

10.30 - 13.20 : Session-1 :  Model Development Activities at MoES/NOAA/UKMET
(Chair-Prof J Srinivasan, IISc Bangalore)

10:00 - 10:30

Model development activities at ESSO-IITM (CFS V2): Dr Suryachandra Rao, IITM Pune.    PDF

10.30 - 11.00


11:00 - 11:30

Experimental extended range monsoon forecasts: Dr A.K.Sahai, IITM Pune .    PDF

11:30 - 12:00

Model Development activities at ESSO-NCMRWF (UKMO): Dr. E.N.Rajagopal, NCMRWF.    PDF

12:00 - 12:30

Monsoon Desk and Recent model Development activities at NCEP (CFS V2): Dr. Partha Bhattacharjee, NCEP.    PDF

12:30 - 13:00

MoES-UKMO Cooperation and UKMO model development activities at UKMO: Dr Richard Renshaw, UK Met Office.    PDF

13:00 - 13:20

Operational Short-range and Long range forecasts by ESSO-IMD: Dr. Y.V.Rama Rao/Dr D. Sivanand Pai, IMD Pune.    PDF

13:20 - 14:00: LUNCH

14:00 - 16:00 : Session-2 :  Model Diagnostics for model development-I
(Chair- Prof J Shukla, GMU/COLA)

14:00 - 14:30

Sensitivity Studies for Indian Monsoon Forecast Modelling: Dr T.N.Krishnamurti, FSU, USA.    PDF

14:30 - 15:00

Ocean-Land-Atmosphere coupling and initialization stratazies to improve CFS v2 and Monsoon Prediction: Dr James L Kinter, GMU, USA.    PDF

15:00 - 15:30

Understanding bias errors and addressing physics errors in the CFS V2 model: Dr Brain Mapes, University of Miami.    PDF

15:30 - 16:00

Understanding the role of sea surface temperatures in the simulation and prediction of the monsoon intraseasonal oscillation: Dr Arun Kumar, NCEP USA.    PDF

16:00 - 16:30

Extended Monsoon Episodes: Understanding processes and pathways for improved prediction CFS v2: Dr H. Annamalai, IPRC, Hawai.    PDF

16:30 - 17:00: Tea/Coffee 

17:00 - 18:30: Session-3. New Techniques and Parametrization Schemes
(Chair: Prof. U.C.Mohanty, IIT Bhubaneswar)

17:00 - 17:30

An approach of Multiscale multicloud parameterization to improve the CFS model fidelity of monsoon weather and climate through better organized tropical convection: Dr Bhoualem Khoudier, University of Victoria, Canada.    PDF

17:30 - 18:00

Advancing Monsoon Weather Climate Fidelity in the NCEP CFS through Improved Cloud-Radiation-Dynamical Representation: Dr Duane Waliser, JPL, USA.    PDF

18:00 - 18:30

Stochastic Parameterization and Forecasting of Wind Energy in India: Dr Ralf Toumi, Imperial College, UK.    PDF

19:00 Onwords


Thursday, 19th February 2015

09:30 - 13:30 : Session-4 :  Modelling activities with UKMO model
(Chair: Prof B.N. Goswami)

09:30 - 10:00

Improved Indo-UK capability for seamless forecasting of monsoon rainfall: from days to the season: Dr Andrew Turner, University of Reading .    PDF

10:00 - 10:30

Diurnal variability of summer monsoon rainfall in the UKMO-Unified Model: Dr M.S. Madhusoodanan, TERI.    PPT

10:30 - 11:00

Impacts of ocean-atmosphere coupling and SST high frequency variability on the coupled simulation of the mean state and variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon: Dr Pascal Terray, LMD France.    PDF

11:00 - 11:30

Evaluation and Improvement of the Unified Model for Short- and Medium-Range Prediction of Monsoon Rain Systems: Dr Kamal Puri, CAWCR, Australia .    PDF

11:30 - 12:00



12:00 - 16:00 : Session-5 :  Observational networks and Data Assimilation
(Chair: Prof Sulochana Gadgil)

12:00 - 12:20

Atmospheric Observational Networks by IMD: Dr. Y.V.Rama Rao IMD.    PDF

12:20 - 12:40

Atmospheric Observational Research Campaigns: Dr. Thara Prabhakaran, IITM.    PDF

12:40 - 13:00

Ocean Observational Network: Dr. Satish Shenoi, INCOIS.    PDF

13:00 - 13:30

Coupled physical processes in the Bay of Bengal and monsoon air-sea interaction: Dr Debasis Sengupta, IISc Bangalore.    PDF

13:30 - 14:30      LUNCH

Session-5 Continue....

14:30 - 15:00

Use of observations defining upper ocean processes in the Bay of Bengal towards improved weather/seasonal forecast: Dr Rubi Krishamurti, FSU, USA.    PDF

15:00 - 15:30

Improving Monsoon Predictions with a Coupled Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation System: Dr Eugenia Kalnay, University of Maryland.    PDF

15:30 - 16:00

The Indian Monsoon Advanced Regional Reanalysis (IMARR) Project: Dr Dale Barker, Met Office, UK.    PDF

16:0 - 16:30

Improved Ocean Initialization for Coupled Modelling for week-2 Monsoon forecast: Dr Suneet Dwivedi, University of Allahabad.    PDF

16:30 - 17:00


17:00 - 18:30 : Session-6 :  Model Diagnostics – II
(Chairperson: Prof. G.S.Bhat, IISc Bangalore)

17.00 - 17:30

Role of the atmosphere and the Indian Ocean in the evolution of Monsoon-ENSO teleconnection in CFS: Dr Raghu Murtugudde, University of Maryland .    PDF

17.30 - 18:00

Improving multi-scale variability and interactions in a global coupled seasonal climate forecast system through embedded regional modeling at weather and cloud resolving scales: Dr Saji Hameed, University of Aizu, Japan.    PDF

18:00 - 18.30

Identification and Correction of Errors in Various Components of Dynamics and Physics of the Global Forecast System (GFS) Model: Dr Arindam Chakraborty, IISc Bangalore.    PDF

19:00 hrs


  Friday, 20th February 2015

09:30 - 11:30 : Session-7 : Model Diagnostics – II
(Chair: Dr Ajit Tyagi, MoES)

09:30 - 09:50

Role of ocean in the extended range prediction of monsoon's active break cycle improving hindcast skill of the NCEP CFS modelling system: Dr Baby Chakrapani, CUSAT, India .    PDF

09:50 - 10:10

Predictability of intraseasonal oscillatory modes and ENSO-monsoon relationship in NCEP CFS with reference to Indian & Pacific Ocean: Dr Shailendra Rai, Allahabad University.    PDF

10:10 - 10.30

Towards understanding the biases in the model SST, wind field and rainfall in the Climate Forecasting System for the Monsoon: Dr SSVS Ramakrishna, Andhra University.    PDF

10:30 - 10.50

Bias estimation and effort for removal of UM/CFS coupled model output with adaptive techniques for improving forecast skill of Indian summer monsoon: Dr Sutapa Chaudhari, University of Calcutta, India.    PDF

10:50 - 11.15


11:15 - 13:45

Monsoon Mission SRMC meeting (closed door meeting)

13:45 - 14.30