Monsoon Mission
"To Improve Prediction Skill of Monsoon Weather and Climate"
Earth System Science Organization, Ministry of Earth Science
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India

Earth System Science Organization

Ministry of Earth Sciences

Monsoon Mission Review Meeting

Venue: Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune

18 - 20 February 2015  Download Agenda

Wednesday, 18th February, 2015



09.30 - 10.00

Inauguration Ceremony

Dr Shailesh Nayak, Chairman, ESSO and the Secretary, MoES

Dr Vinod Gaur, Chairman, Governing Council, ESSO-IITM

Monsoon Mission Director

Associate Monsoon Mission Director

10.30 - 13.20 : Session-1 :  Model Development Activities at MoES/NOAA/UKMET
(Chair-Prof J Srinivasan, IISc Bangalore)

10:00 - 10:30

Model development activities at ESSO-IITM (CFS V2): Dr Suryachandra Rao, IITM Pune.    PDF

10.30 - 11.00


11:00 - 11:30

Experimental extended range monsoon forecasts: Dr A.K.Sahai, IITM Pune .    PDF

11:30 - 12:00

Model Development activities at ESSO-NCMRWF (UKMO): Dr. E.N.Rajagopal, NCMRWF.    PDF

12:00 - 12:30

Monsoon Desk and Recent model Development activities at NCEP (CFS V2): Dr. Partha Bhattacharjee, NCEP.    PDF

12:30 - 13:00

MoES-UKMO Cooperation and UKMO model development activities at UKMO: Dr Richard Renshaw, UK Met Office.    PDF

13:00 - 13:20

Operational Short-range and Long range forecasts by ESSO-IMD: Dr. Y.V.Rama Rao/Dr D. Sivanand Pai, IMD Pune.    PDF

13:20 - 14:00: LUNCH

14:00 - 16:00 : Session-2 :  Model Diagnostics for model development-I
(Chair- Prof J Shukla, GMU/COLA)

14:00 - 14:30

Sensitivity Studies for Indian Monsoon Forecast Modelling: Dr T.N.Krishnamurti, FSU, USA.    PDF

14:30 - 15:00

Ocean-Land-Atmosphere coupling and initialization stratazies to improve CFS v2 and Monsoon Prediction: Dr James L Kinter, GMU, USA.    PDF

15:00 - 15:30

Understanding bias errors and addressing physics errors in the CFS V2 model: Dr Brain Mapes, University of Miami.    PDF

15:30 - 16:00

Understanding the role of sea surface temperatures in the simulation and prediction of the monsoon intraseasonal oscillation: Dr Arun Kumar, NCEP USA.    PDF

16:00 - 16:30

Extended Monsoon Episodes: Understanding processes and pathways for improved prediction CFS v2: Dr H. Annamalai, IPRC, Hawai.    PDF

16:30 - 17:00: Tea/Coffee 

17:00 - 18:30: Session-3. New Techniques and Parametrization Schemes
(Chair: Prof. U.C.Mohanty, IIT Bhubaneswar)

17:00 - 17:30

An approach of Multiscale multicloud parameterization to improve the CFS model fidelity of monsoon weather and climate through better organized tropical convection: Dr Bhoualem Khoudier, University of Victoria, Canada.    PDF

17:30 - 18:00

Advancing Monsoon Weather Climate Fidelity in the NCEP CFS through Improved Cloud-Radiation-Dynamical Representation: Dr Duane Waliser, JPL, USA.    PDF

18:00 - 18:30

Stochastic Parameterization and Forecasting of Wind Energy in India: Dr Ralf Toumi, Imperial College, UK.    PDF

19:00 Onwords


Thursday, 19th February 2015

09:30 - 13:30 : Session-4 :  Modelling activities with UKMO model
(Chair: Prof B.N. Goswami)

09:30 - 10:00

Improved Indo-UK capability for seamless forecasting of monsoon rainfall: from days to the season: Dr Andrew Turner, University of Reading .    PDF

10:00 - 10:30

Diurnal variability of summer monsoon rainfall in the UKMO-Unified Model: Dr M.S. Madhusoodanan, TERI.    PPT

10:30 - 11:00

Impacts of ocean-atmosphere coupling and SST high frequency variability on the coupled simulation of the mean state and variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon: Dr Pascal Terray, LMD France.    PDF

11:00 - 11:30

Evaluation and Improvement of the Unified Model for Short- and Medium-Range Prediction of Monsoon Rain Systems: Dr Kamal Puri, CAWCR, Australia .    PDF

11:30 - 12:00



12:00 - 16:00 : Session-5 :  Observational networks and Data Assimilation
(Chair: Prof Sulochana Gadgil)

12:00 - 12:20

Atmospheric Observational Networks by IMD: Dr. Y.V.Rama Rao IMD.    PDF

12:20 - 12:40

Atmospheric Observational Research Campaigns: Dr. Thara Prabhakaran, IITM.    PDF

12:40 - 13:00

Ocean Observational Network: Dr. Satish Shenoi, INCOIS.    PDF

13:00 - 13:30

Coupled physical processes in the Bay of Bengal and monsoon air-sea interaction: Dr Debasis Sengupta, IISc Bangalore.    PDF

13:30 - 14:30      LUNCH

Session-5 Continue....

14:30 - 15:00

Use of observations defining upper ocean processes in the Bay of Bengal towards improved weather/seasonal forecast: Dr Rubi Krishamurti, FSU, USA.    PDF

15:00 - 15:30

Improving Monsoon Predictions with a Coupled Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation System: Dr Eugenia Kalnay, University of Maryland.    PDF

15:30 - 16:00

The Indian Monsoon Advanced Regional Reanalysis (IMARR) Project: Dr Dale Barker, Met Office, UK.    PDF

16:0 - 16:30

Improved Ocean Initialization for Coupled Modelling for week-2 Monsoon forecast: Dr Suneet Dwivedi, University of Allahabad.    PDF

16:30 - 17:00


17:00 - 18:30 : Session-6 :  Model Diagnostics – II
(Chairperson: Prof. G.S.Bhat, IISc Bangalore)

17.00 - 17:30

Role of the atmosphere and the Indian Ocean in the evolution of Monsoon-ENSO teleconnection in CFS: Dr Raghu Murtugudde, University of Maryland .    PDF

17.30 - 18:00

Improving multi-scale variability and interactions in a global coupled seasonal climate forecast system through embedded regional modeling at weather and cloud resolving scales: Dr Saji Hameed, University of Aizu, Japan.    PDF

18:00 - 18.30

Identification and Correction of Errors in Various Components of Dynamics and Physics of the Global Forecast System (GFS) Model: Dr Arindam Chakraborty, IISc Bangalore.    PDF

19:00 hrs


  Friday, 20th February 2015

09:30 - 11:30 : Session-7 : Model Diagnostics – II
(Chair: Dr Ajit Tyagi, MoES)

09:30 - 09:50

Role of ocean in the extended range prediction of monsoon's active break cycle improving hindcast skill of the NCEP CFS modelling system: Dr Baby Chakrapani, CUSAT, India .    PDF

09:50 - 10:10

Predictability of intraseasonal oscillatory modes and ENSO-monsoon relationship in NCEP CFS with reference to Indian & Pacific Ocean: Dr Shailendra Rai, Allahabad University.    PDF

10:10 - 10.30

Towards understanding the biases in the model SST, wind field and rainfall in the Climate Forecasting System for the Monsoon: Dr SSVS Ramakrishna, Andhra University.    PDF

10:30 - 10.50

Bias estimation and effort for removal of UM/CFS coupled model output with adaptive techniques for improving forecast skill of Indian summer monsoon: Dr Sutapa Chaudhari, University of Calcutta, India.    PDF

10:50 - 11.15


11:15 - 13:45

Monsoon Mission SRMC meeting (closed door meeting)

13:45 - 14.30